Quantitative
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WorldForge V2: Eliciting Camera-Trajectory Alignment in Video Diffusion Models
2026-10-22 17:53:03Chenxi Song, Yanming Yang, Tong Zhao, Ruibo Li, Joey Tianyi Zhou, Chi ZhangAbstract
Video diffusion models have learned rich 3D/4D priors, making them promising for scene generation and video re-rendering. However, their use in spatial tasks is limited by imprecise camera control, spatial and temporal inconsistencies, and entangled camera motion with scene dynamics. Existing approaches, such as task-specific fine-tuning and post-process warping, often introduce visual artifacts, generalize poorly, or incur high computational costs. We propose WorldForge V2 to achieve accurate camera control while preserving the generative capabilities of pretrained video models. We first develop a training-free guidance framework using warped references to iteratively refine generation along a target camera path. Optical-flow analysis identifies motion-related latent channels for selective guidance, helping separate motion control from appearance. A dual-path strategy further compares guided and unguided predictions to correct artifacts from imperfect references. Together, these components guide viewpoint changes while preserving scene appearance and object motion. To reduce refinement costs, v-cache approximates the correction using the preceding denoising prediction, avoiding an additional model evaluation. We further extend motion localization from latent channels to network blocks and introduce Trajectory LoRA, which concentrates adaptation on blocks most responsive to trajectory guidance. A two-stage training strategy teaches these adapters to denoise the states encountered during guided generation, using limited supervision effectively. This enables reliable camera control with very little training data, with a single training scene already supporting generalization to unseen scenes. Quantitative and qualitative evaluations across multiple datasets show that our method achieves state-of-the-art generation quality and trajectory accuracy in camera-controlled video generation.
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.31640
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CoWriter: Guiding Methodological and Synergetic Human-LLM Co-Authoring
2026-10-22 13:45:47Shmuel Amar, Benjamin Lieber, Ori Shapira, Debanjana Kar, Sebastian Maximilian Dennerlein, Yufang Hou, Ido DaganAbstract
While LLMs have transformed text generation, standard chat-and-canvas interfaces often reduce human authoring to quite passive supervision, causing review fatigue, over-reliance on AI, and the sidelining of the human role in long-form, source-grounded writing. Prior systems typically address isolated writing phases, leaving comprehensive end-to-end human-LLM collaboration largely unexplored. In this paper, we introduce CoWriter, a proactive agentic scheme that adapts expert human (co-)authoring methodologies from cognitive science to flexibly steer the entire writing workflow while actively encouraging the user to engage. In an exploratory user study, compared to a standard LLM baseline, authors using CoWriter better expressed their perspectives and maintained a higher sense of document ownership, supported quantitatively by $2.2\times$ more successful agent engagements. Furthermore, external reader judges rated the resulting texts higher in "human touch" qualities like storytelling and integrating unique personal experiences. Overall, our results demonstrate that proactively engaging users through established human practices is beneficial for effective LLM-supported co-authoring, providing useful methodologies, techniques and insights for future research on collaborative agents.
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.31277
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MotionHalluc: Diagnosing Kinematic Hallucinations in Fine-Grained Motion Reasoning
2026-10-22 09:56:58Weile Guo, Shenghong He, Danying Mo, Chengdong Xu, Xuexun Liu, Chao YuAbstract
Motion instruction generation in cross-video comparison aims to produce corrective feedback that describes the differences between a query and a reference motion. However, existing models often generate instructions that exhibit motion hallucinations, failing to reflect actual kinematic differences between paired videos. To systematically investigate these hallucinations, we introduce MotionHalluc, a dedicated benchmark for evaluating motion hallucinations in paired-video comparison. MotionHalluc comprises 1540 fine-grained questions over 553 video pairs, evaluating hallucinations along three core dimensions: (1)directional hallucination, (2)attributional hallucination, and (3)temporal hallucination. Extensive evaluations of state-of-the-art large multimodal models demonstrate high susceptibility to these hallucinations. Furthermore, we provide Perceive-Parse-Verify (PPV) as a training-free measurements extraction and verification baseline that converts candidate instructions into executable measurement queries and supplies kinematic measurements at inference time. Our results show that this simple measurements injection yields an average 10.6% performance gain across models, suggesting that motion reasoning with explicit quantitative measurements is a key factor in reducing hallucinations in cross-video comparison. Our code and dataset are available at this https URL.
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.23061
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Quant-Arena: Benchmarking LLM Agents for Quantitative Trading Research
2026-10-21 17:54:01Houde Qian, Zheng Jiang, Wenyi Li, Chenxi Xu, Xinjie Lin, Yuzhao Peng, Ruoyu Han, Youjie Zheng, Kaisen Yang, Qinhuai Na, You Fu, Calvin XiaoAbstract
Quantitative research is an iterative loop: a researcher proposes a market hypothesis, implements it as an executable signal, tests it on historical data, and decides what to keep. Existing benchmarks score formulas, code, or individual trading decisions, leaving open whether large language models (LLMs) can complete this loop and produce strategies that work beyond the research period. We introduce Quant-Arena, a benchmark and public leaderboard for end-to-end quantitative research on real A-share market data. A model constructs features and stock-scoring code, receives feedback only on 2022--2023, and freezes one strategy for assessment on the sealed year 2024. A cash-account evaluator applies trading constraints and costs, including market impact estimated from a simulated order book. Scores are dominated by realized excess return and complemented by signal quality and the diversity of features used by the strategy. We evaluate nine frontier models, among which GPT-6 Astra scores highest; yet no model beats the equal-weight market in 2024. Quant-Arena is open to submissions from any model or agent harness.
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.30113
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Attn-Forcing: Learning Full-Context Attention Proxies for Streaming Video Generation
2026-10-21 16:59:51Junyao Gao, Sibo Liu, Jiaxing Li, Yanan Sun, Hanxin Zhu, Weidong Zhang, Jun Zhang, Cairong ZhaoAbstract
Increasing the attention context length significantly improves streaming video generation quality, while incurring prohibitive memory and computational costs as the context grows. Existing methods attempt to capture this contextual information through attention selection or compression, but remain limited by bounded representations and lack explicit attention-level supervision to retain historical contributions to current queries. To address this, we introduce Attn-Forcing, a novel framework that preserves full-context attention contributions for streaming video generation under bounded memory and computation. We achieve this by introducing attention proxies that continuously approximate the attention responses induced by the historical context. Specifically, we implement the proxies as learnable visual latents and employ a Proxy Update Module to incorporate visual context from historical latents. Moreover, we propose an Attention Matching Loss to explicitly constrain the attention behavior of the learned proxies using full-context attention supervision. Extensive qualitative and quantitative experiments demonstrate that Attn-Forcing consistently improves streaming video generation quality and achieves state-of-the-art performance over existing baseline methods.
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.30036
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Existence of Minimizers for the Gaussian Mumford-Shah Model via Covariance Floors on the Value Distribution
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The Gaussian Mumford-Shah model segments an image into regions by minimizing a continuous multivariate Gaussian negative log-likelihood term plus a perimeter penalty. It is used for scalar- and vector-valued images, in particular hyperspectral images, but the existence of a minimizer in general is not guaranteed. The energy is unbounded below whenever the covariance of a single region degenerates, regardless of the perimeter of the regions. A quantitative covariance floor on the covariances of all regions, or equivalently uniform Hölder continuity with exponent at most one of all one-dimensional marginals of the histogram, guarantees a lower bound on the energy and the existence of a minimizer. Our approach therefore shows that existence follows from a property of the histogram of the image, and we furthermore argue that scale-independent covariance floors cannot exist. Admitting a quantitative covariance floor is generic: it holds almost surely for all images with suitable noise. As applications of our theory, we show the convergence of regularized models used in practice and of numerical methods.
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.29949
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GuidedSAM-Plume: An Expert-Guided Segmentation Framework for Volcanic Plumes
2026-10-21 14:48:18Taddeo D'Adamo (LIRIS, imagine), Simon Thivet (UNIGE), Catherine Pothier (LIRIS, imagine), Riccardo Simionato (UNIGE), Allan Fries (UNIGE), Jonathan Lemus (UNIGE), Costanza Bonadonna (UNIGE), Laure Tougne Rodet (LIRIS, imagine), Bertrand Kerautret (LIRIS, imagine)Abstract
Quantitative analysis of environmental phenomena increasingly relies on image-based measurements. In volcanology, the geometric characterization of volcanic plumes and clouds from RGB images remains hindered by the scarcity of dedicated segmentation solutions and partially handcrafted annotations remain widely prevalent. We present GuidedSAM-Plume, an open-source expert-guided framework tailored for the interactive segmentation of volcanic plumes and clouds. It leverages the zero-shot, spatial prompt-based capabilities of SAM2. The framework was thoroughly validated on a challenging dataset through dedicated segmentation metrics and field-relevant volcanological descriptors. From minimal user inputs, it is able to significantly increase performance compared to fully automatic dedicated solutions while preserving the reliability of derived volcanological parameters. The absence of retraining requirements lowers adoption barriers within the volcanological community, and the framework's demonstrated suitability for complex, diffuse plume-shaped phenomena extends its applicability to broader environmental science domains. The re-annotated dataset, produced under the guidance of expert volcanologists within the proposed framework, ultimately yields a more standardized release. The framework and accompanying dataset are made available at this https URL.
Abstract (translated)
URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.29825
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COMET: A coordinated multi-layer runtime monitoring framework for human-supervised AI-enabled safety systems
2026-10-21 14:40:34Niclas Flehmig, Mary Ann Lundteigen, Shen YinAbstract
Incorporating AI systems into safety systems requires monitoring to avoid silent faults and ensure safe and reliable operation. Single monitors often do not provide actionable information for human supervisors, who act as the system's adaptive controller. We present COMET, a coordinated multi-layer runtime monitoring framework for human-supervised AI-enabled safety systems in which each monitor is anchored in a different fault mode. Monitor outputs are combined in a coordination layer and mapped by a communication layer to a traffic-light display. In this work, COMET consists of three monitoring layers: signal integrity, physics consistency, and the AI system's competence envelope. The framework is evaluated on an open dataset of compressed-air leaks, where an AI system detects leaks from acoustic emissions, with held-out conditions simulating covariate shift, semantic shift, and sensor faults, events expected during runtime but unknown in their exact appearance. All monitors are frozen after development and tested zero-shot, and the framework is compared against no-monitoring and single-monitor setups. The bare AI system fails silently and confidently under all three shift types, whereas COMET reduces the trusted-wrong-answer rate to zero on covariate-shifted no-leak data and on three of four sensor faults, at a nominal false-alarm rate of $\approx 1\%$. Single monitors come close in detection but cannot attribute the fault mode. COMET converts their anonymous detection flags into diagnoses. Residual silent misses under semantic shift define the boundary of passive monitoring. Runtime monitoring frameworks for AI-enabled safety systems must therefore combine quantitative fault detection and isolation with qualitative, human-oriented feedback.
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.29816
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Learning to Measure and Diagnose: A Clinical-Dictionary Radiomic Bottleneck Model for Thyroid Nodule Classification
2026-10-21 13:38:14Guibin Zhang, Weier Luo, Lei CaoAbstract
Thyroid ultrasound supports the assessment of nodule malignancy, but classification predictions often lack evidence linked to familiar clinical descriptions. Radiomics provides explicitly defined measurements that can support such explanations through a clinical dictionary. However, using these measurements as interpretable evidence requires reliable estimation from ultrasound images and preservation of measurement fidelity when optimizing classification performance. We propose a clinical-dictionary radiomic bottleneck model for thyroid nodule classification. Within this model, Family-Aware Radiomic Learning (FARL) estimates measurements with balanced supervision across feature families. Fidelity-Guided Bottleneck Modeling (FGBM) constructs a fixed bottleneck, followed by joint optimization of measurement estimation and classification under fidelity guidance. Decision evidence decomposition then traces feature contributions through a linear classifier and organizes them by clinical dictionary categories. Experiments on ThyroidXL and TN3K show competitive classification performance, while case studies illustrate feature contributions for benign and malignant nodules. These findings indicate interpretable classification with inspectable quantitative evidence informed by clinical knowledge. Code is available online.
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.29738
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FlowVLA: Learning Flow-Aware Physical Completion for Quantitative Robotic Pouring
2026-10-21 13:07:39Liwen Yang, Yutian Zhang, Jiaqi Zhai, Li Yang, Tutian Tang, Qiwei Shan, Yancheng Bi, Qiankuan Shangguan, Yangkun Zhu, Ce Hao, Dong Wei, Qiaojun Yu, Dibo HouAbstract
During steady pouring, images and robot pose may remain nearly unchanged while transferred mass accumulates, making the return decision ambiguous for a whole-task vision-language-action (VLA) policy. We present FlowVLA, which separates motor generation from physical-completion estimation. A shared $\pi_{0.5}$ action expert learns approach, pour, and return with boundary-aware supervision. A target-independent estimator fuses visual, joint, wrist-wrench, and recurrent force-belief histories to maintain an estimate of transferred mass. The controller initiates return when this estimate plus predicted residual outflow reaches the requested mass. In coffee-pot/water experiments, FlowVLA achieves 13.1 g goal-balanced mean absolute error (MacroMAE), lower than all tested VLA baselines. Across all attempts, 53.7% both complete the task and finish within +/-10% of the requested mass. The same model interpolates to held-out 150/250-g targets without retraining. Independently trained models further evaluate the formulation in three additional container-fluid settings.
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.29692
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An interpretable deep learning method for early hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosis on multiphase CT
2026-10-21 11:56:23Emma Sarfati, Alexandre B\^one, Pietro Gori, Sisi Yang, Marc-Michel Roh\'e, Fran\c{c}ois Nicolas, Jeong-Min Lee, Jeong Hee Yoon, Maxime Ronot, Isabelle Bloch, Christophe Aub\'eAbstract
Early diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma is critical to preserve access to curative treatment options. The Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) provides a standardized framework for non-invasive diagnosis on multiphase computed tomography, based on major visual imaging features. However, these features may be difficult to assess consistently, particularly in small liver lesions. We developed dLI-RADS, an interpretable artificial intelligence method designed to estimate the probability of hepatocellular carcinoma from multiphase computed tomography images of manually segmented liver lesions, while remaining aligned with LI-RADS-related imaging concepts. dLI-RADS combines neural network-derived predictions with handcrafted quantitative imaging measurements reflecting LI-RADS major features and integrates these inputs using logistic regression. In this multicenter retrospective study, patients with multiphase computed tomography and at least one liver lesion were included, while lesions larger than 40 mm were excluded. Histology served as the reference standard for hepatocellular carcinoma, and a composite reference standard was used for non-hepatocellular carcinoma lesions. The lesion-level accuracy of dLI-RADS and LI-RADS were compared on the internal evaluation set using 10,000-repetition bootstrap non-inferiority tests, with 5% margins and significance levels. On the external test set, sensitivities were similarly compared. dLI-RADS was non-inferior to LI-RADS for lesion-level accuracy in the internal evaluation set, achieving 80% accuracy compared with 74% for LI-RADS (p = 0.04)...
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.29616
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Keeping Time vs. Understanding Time: Neither Alone Explains Temporal Reasoning in LLMs
2026-10-21 09:58:46Auss Abbood, Fernando Mart\'inez-Plumed, Jos\'e Hern\'andez-Orallo, Nigel CollierAbstract
Temporal reasoning is widely assumed to decompose into two modes: temporal arithmetic (date and time calculations), and temporal semantics (understanding temporal and causal relations). This dichotomy shapes how benchmarks are designed, how models are trained, and how progress is measured, yet its empirical validity has never been directly tested. We provide two lines of evidence that challenge it. First, we test whether tasks labelled as arithmetic or semantic by the benchmarks support transferable gains within their purported mode. Finetuning on these subsets yields predominantly dataset-specific gains ($+6.8$ to $+23.1$ percentage points), while transfer to a different dataset in the same mode ranges from $-3.2$ to $+1.1$ percentage points. Across the two benchmark families used in the transfer analysis, this pattern provides little evidence of coherent, transferable temporal abilities. Second, using cognitive-demand-based model evaluation, we examine which capabilities actually drive performance on these benchmarks. We find that quantitative and logical reasoning, the assumed proxies for temporal arithmetic and temporal semantics, are not the primary drivers; knowledge is. Together, these findings show that current temporal reasoning benchmarks do not cleanly realise the arithmetic-semantics distinction and instead largely reward models for remembering how time typically works.
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.29507
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Reading the Mask: Descriptor-Grounded BI-RADS Rationale Generation for Breast MRI Segmentation
2026-10-21 07:50:20Hrishikesh Singh, Aarti Sharma, Divyanshu Kumar, Millie PantAbstract
Deep learning based models accurately delineate tumours on dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI (DCE-MRI), but segmentation masks alone do not provide the rationales or reasoning used by radiologists to assess the lesion suspicion. This limits the explainability as well the clinical integration. We investigate whether clinically relevant descriptors can instead be derived from the segmentation masks and their dynamic contrast-enhancement series. We have used Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS) guidelines as a structured framework. Using these guidelines we designed a BI-RADS decision tree with eight quantitative measurements using radiomics, together with the lesion size and component count, that determine the descriptors at eight nodes. Using these descriptors we generate natural-language rationale using a large language model. The model was constrained to express only the derived records from the decision tree. After applying this framework to the expert and automatic masks of each of the 1,506 cases in the MAMA-MIA dataset, we generated a reproducible corpus of 3,012 BI-RADS grounded rationales. We obtained a faithfulness score of 99.98% and a counterfactual accuracy of 99.3%, indicating that the generated rationales faithfully verbalises the measured descriptors and correctly reflects changes in the underlying record. Agreement between the descriptors from expert and automatic masks falls from 0.832 to 0.549 as mask quality falls from Good to Missed. The generated rationales are intended as draft representations for radiologist review and final sign-off rather than autonomous clinical reports.
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.29358
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Don't Stop Long-Context Continual Pre-Training Too Early: An Empirical Scaling Law
2026-10-21 07:46:55Ziqing Qiao, Xiaoyue Xu, Sikui Zhang, Yinuo Xu, Bingxiang He, Chaojun Xiao, Xu HanAbstract
Long-context continual pre-training (LCCP) is widely used to improve long-context capability, but how its benefits scale with the number of tokens used for LCCP remains unclear. We investigate this question through modeling, monitoring, and validating the benefits of scaling LCCP. First, we establish an empirical additive power law relating long-context performance to model size and the respective token budgets of short-context pre-training and LCCP. Experiments across five model scales and more than one hundred short- and long-context budget configurations show that the fitted law reproduces the observed trends and extrapolates well to held-out model scales. Second, we introduce \textsc{Constant-Last4}, a training and observation protocol that averages the four most recent consecutive checkpoints from a constant-learning-rate run to enable stable monitoring along a single extensible training trajectory. Under this protocol, the same scaling-law form fits well and accurately predicts the LCCP performance trajectory of a 1.22B-parameter model trained on approximately 100B LCCP tokens. Finally, downstream evaluations along this trajectory show continued improvements in long-context performance, with no clear sign of saturation within the evaluated range. These gains persist after both 128K context extension and supervised fine-tuning, with benefits extending to long-context understanding and agentic tasks. Together, these results argue for continuing to scale LCCP rather than stopping early: its gains are stably observable along an extensible trajectory, quantitatively predictable, and transferable to downstream tasks.
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.29352
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From Prompts to Posteriors: Can LLM Agents Perform Bayesian Inference in Context?
2026-10-21 07:29:24Linus Filbry, Luckeciano C. Melo, Yarin GalAbstract
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly applied across the scientific discovery pipeline, from synthesizing literature to generating hypotheses to informing experimental design. A unifying principle behind these tasks is the need to continuously update beliefs as evidence accumulates, for which Bayesian inference provides a natural framework. However, existing work assumes that LLMs cannot carry out principled Bayesian belief updating in context, instead relying on simplifications and heuristics. To challenge this assumption, we present a principled evaluation of Bayesian reasoning capabilities in LLMs, analyzing both the model's internal consistency as well as its ability to recover an externally determined posterior. Specifically, we build an evaluation framework spanning qualitative epistemological examples to probe probabilistic coherence, quantitative benchmarks of Bayesian inference capabilities, and analyses of the impact of non-Bayesian updates on downstream task performance. Across different scenarios, we find that LLMs generally violate Bayes' rule when updating their beliefs in context. However, when equipped with modern reasoning abilities and code execution capabilities, their performance drastically improves, enabling even the close approximation of analytically intractable posteriors. Our evaluation shows that current LLMs with access to appropriate tools could already be used to make complex belief updates in scientific discovery, enabling rapid acceleration of the efficiency and scale of AI-powered scientific discovery.
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.29331
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DiaLong: Benchmarking Reminiscence in Long-Context Dialogues
2026-10-20 19:55:41Owen Bianchi, Samer Aslan, Ryunosuke SaitoAbstract
How well can transformer-based Large Language Models (LLMs) retain and recall memories in long contexts of dialogue? LLMs are known to forget long-range factual information in their context, yet the field lacks a comprehensive benchmark to quantitatively assess these shortcomings. We present DiaLong, a long-context dialogue dataset and accompanying memory task that standardizes evaluation in this space. It consists of 100 unique conversations created by humans and then augmented with LLMs, extending beyond lengths found in existing datasets. Our selected memory task is fact recall: classify 40 candidate facts about a dialogue as true or false. This task directly probes the model's ability to actively retain and retrieve information, serving as a critical measure of memory within extended conversational contexts. In testing both the latest LLMs and proposed memory enhancements on DiaLong, we demonstrate that more work needs to be done to enable LLMs with better memory performance. By enhancing memory capabilities, LLMs can improve in maintaining coherence, relevance, and human-like interaction over extended conversation. Improving these capabilities will help LLMs fulfill diverse user needs and expectations in various conversational scenarios.
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.25463
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Sketch2Sim: an end-to-end modular framework for hand-drawn circuit analysis
2026-10-20 19:04:12Mohammad Kawsar, Al Amin Islam Ridoy, Md Rakib Hossain, Farzana Akter, AKM Bahalul Haque, Rejwan Bin Sulaiman, Mohammed Amin AlmaiahAbstract
This study proposes a sketch-to-simulation system to solve handwritten circuit diagrams. The system converts raw images into a Simulation Program with Integrated Circuit Emphasis (SPICE)-compatible netlist and automatically calculates the circuit's nodal voltages and currents. Another objective is to propose a holistic framework that benefits students and educators by enhancing the teaching and learning experience of electric circuits and expediting engineering design reviews. This article presents a multistage pipeline that converts raw photographs of handwritten electric circuits into executable SPICE-like netlists, providing a solution. A dataset of 1,000 hand-drawn Resistor-Inductor-Capacitor (RLC) circuits was curated and annotated for components, text regions, and character recognition. The proposed system decomposes a circuit diagram into three stages: (i) dual You Only Look Once (YOLO)-based detectors for components and text regions, (ii) a Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network (CRNN) with Connectionist Temporal Classification (CTC) and Optical Character Recognition (OCR)-based domain-aware symbol value extraction, and (iii) image processing with thresholding, skeletonization, and Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise (DBSCAN) to automatically identify nodes and map them with corresponding components. The proposed system produces the netlist and solves the circuit. The qualitative and quantitative ablation studies on modular stages, as well as end-to-end tests, demonstrate robust performance across various handwriting styles, lighting conditions, and this http URL study serves as an interactive learning aid and practical tool for professionals, providing a comprehensive user interface (UI), enabling rapid digitization of circuit sketches for study, design, prototyping, or troubleshooting.
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.28836
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NarraSpace: Multimodal Scene-Grounded Evidence for Picture-Description Dementia Classification
2026-10-20 17:55:44Qingming Li, Ruiyan Sun, Satoshi NakamuraAbstract
Picture-description dementia classification uses a shared visual scene, but a transcript-level prediction alone does not identify the scene evidence underlying its inputs. NarraSpace links words and speech times to named picture elements and retrieves utterances for predefined scene events. Narrative-spatial descriptors summarize coverage and temporal organization. A frozen language model contrasts each event's text under examples from Alzheimer's disease and healthy-control training participants, alongside transcript surprisal and coverage measurements. Retained source records link event scores to their source utterances, speech intervals, and lexical matches. On the official 48-participant test set of the Alzheimer's Dementia Recognition through Spontaneous Speech benchmark, a fixed support vector classifier achieves $80.88\%\pm2.56\%$ mean accuracy over fifty seeds; averaged probabilities yield $81.25\%$ accuracy and $91.32\%$ area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. NarraSpace makes the construction of scene-linked classification inputs explicit and inspectable by connecting event-indexed language-model measurements to their source utterances, speech timing, and extraction records. Such source-linked measurements could support clinician review of picture descriptions by presenting quantitative summaries alongside the original speech evidence.
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.28616
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Semantic Observability for Autonomous Systems Diagnostics
2026-10-20 17:53:32Jitendra Solanki, Anand Todkar, Ziran MinAbstract
Modern distributed microservice deployments generate massive volumes of heterogeneous, multi-format observability logs across physically and logically partitioned infrastructure. Isolating root causes during cascading failures remains an arduous task for Site Reliability Engineers (SREs), bottlenecked by manual keyword filtering and disjointed temporal correlation across monitoring dashboards. We introduce Semantic Observability, an autonomous multi-agent framework that unifies disparate log streams into a dynamic, queryable Property Graph Database. By modeling physical infrastructure topologies, logical software dependencies, and chronological event sequences as attributed nodes and directed relations, it bridges the semantic gap inherent in flat, unstructured log repositories. Building on this unified substrate, we deploy a stateful multi-agent system orchestrated through Directed Cyclic Graphs (DCGs). The system autonomously navigates the topology, applying causal graph algorithms and temporal back-traversal to isolate the precise blast radius of anomalies. The pruned subgraph is then interpreted by a Large Language Model (LLM) reasoning engine to generate contextualized, code-level Root Cause Analyses (RCA) and actionable remediations. This paper establishes the foundational system architecture, formal relational ontology, and multi-agent control loops of Semantic Observability. We show conceptually how the framework eliminates ambient telemetry noise, reduces Mean Time to Resolution (MTTR), compresses LLM token consumption, and prevents structural hallucinations. We also specify an open-source validation framework on standard benchmarks (LogHub and Train-Ticket), laying the groundwork for a forthcoming companion paper on exhaustive quantitative evaluation and production benchmarking.
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.28611
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A Digital Twin to Improve Cyber-Social Impact
2026-10-20 15:58:33Vita Santa Barletta, Danilo Caivano, Gabriel Cellammare, Andrea Dimauro, Pasquale Mesagna, Massimiliano MorgaAbstract
The increasing complexity of Industrial Control Systems (ICS) and their integration with IT infrastructures has significantly expanded the cyber threat landscape. Traditional cybersecurity models, primarily based on the Confidentiality, Integrity, and Availability (CIA triad), fail to capture the broader societal and operational impacts of cyberattacks. This paper proposes a novel framework that integrates Digital Twin technology with a Cyber-Social Security model to simulate, analyze, and quantify cyber threats in critical infrastructures. Virtualized ICS environments built with Mininet and MiniCPS are used to model attack scenarios and assess their consequences across technical and social dimensions. At the core of the framework lies the Cyber-Social Vulnerability Scoring System (CSVSS), a quantitative metric that extends CVSS with a Social Impact dimension grounded in the Entity and Place pillars, producing a single, reproducible severity score that reflects real-world consequences. Crucially, the framework does not automate risk assessment but keeps the human analyst at its center: a Large Language Model (LLM) performs a first-pass analysis, mapping vulnerabilities and drafting risk reports, while the analyst, supported by explainable AI feedback, validates the findings and retains decision authority over critical cases. Experimental results demonstrate the framework's ability to model and score cyber-social impact, while the human-in-the-loop design is presented as a conceptual principle to preserve oversight.
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.28430
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