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Learning to Be Monitored: Causal Bounds and Intervention-Aware Post-Training Recipes for Chain-of-Thought Monitorability

2026-10-22 16:00:17
Qiang Fu, Xinyue Li, Andre Wibisono, Arman Cohan

Abstract

Chain-of-thought (CoT) monitoring aims to detect potentially harmful behaviors in large language models (LLMs) from their CoTs. Intervention-based evaluations measure this property by asking whether a monitor can detect the role of an intervention from the CoT when the targeted behavior occurs, typically using minimal-criterion sensitivity ($\mathsf{TPR_{mc}}$) proposed by~\citep{guan2025monitoring}. However, a target behavior observed under intervention is not necessarily caused by it, and we show that this metric can overestimate how often a monitor detects target behaviors actually caused by the intervention. Specifically, we establish $\mathsf{TPR_{mc}}$ as an upper bound on this causal detection rate and derive a complementary lower bound, which provides a tighter evaluation framework for CoT monitorability. With this framework, we study whether LLMs can be trained to make their CoTs easier to monitor. We first construct a training dataset of paired control--intervention tasks spanning multiple intervention types. Using the dataset, we design and apply three intervention-specific training methods based on off-policy self-distillation, reinforcement learning, and on-policy self-distillation to train separate variants of each base model. Across various model-monitor configurations, all three methods generally improve CoT monitorability over the corresponding base models under our extended evaluation framework. Our code is available at this https URL.

Abstract (translated)

URL

https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.31733

PDF

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2610.31733.pdf


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