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EXAONE Demand 1.0: A Time Series Foundation Model for Demand Forecasting

2026-09-25 06:37:39
Seunghan Lee, Sangjun Han, Jun Seo, Junhyeok Kang, Jaehoon Lee, Tae Yoon Lim, Dongwan Kang, Hwanil Choi, Minjae Kim, Sungdong Yoo, Soonyoung Lee, Wonbin Ahn

Abstract

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) are pretrained on series from diverse domains, where demand series make up only a small fraction. Demand data has properties that such corpora rarely contain: Short histories, frequent zeros, censoring by stock-outs, and exogenous events that the series does not record. To this end, we propose EXAONE Demand, built on 1) a demand-specific corpus and 2) a demand-aware adapter. For the corpus, we assemble 11.3M series and 48.4B observations from 73 sources, and a synthetic generator supplies the behaviour that open demand data under-represents. For the adapter, we attach low-rank branches to a frozen general-domain backbone, one for each of the four demand classes (smooth, intermittent, erratic, and lumpy), and a router that reads eight scale-free statistics of the input series decides how much each branch contributes. We build EXAONE Demand in two versions, one trained on real-world and synthetic demand together and one trained on the synthetic corpus alone. On 22 held-out datasets, both versions outperform 36 TSFMs, and real-world demand adds a gain over synthetic data alone.

Abstract (translated)

URL

https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.30880

PDF

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2609.30880.pdf


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