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Automated Detection and Structuring of Social Tipping Point Evidence in Climate related Documents: A Modular AI Framework

2026-09-10 22:21:16
Kavindu Perera, Mohammad Abaeiani, Ekaterina Gilman, Lauri Loven, Mourad Oussalah, Tassos Kanellos, Beatrice Gobbo, Dante Adami, Nicol\`o Ferriani, Maximiliano Romero, Pierre Rossel, Marc Bonazountas, Christina Deligianni, Nikos Xyderis, Artur Bogucki, Lampros Argyriou, Prasasthy Balasubramanian

Abstract

The climate literature has grown faster than review teams can read it. That gap matters most for a concept like the environmental social tipping point, the threshold at which a small change triggers rapid, self-reinforcing change in a social system. Evidence of this kind of shift is usually contained in one or two paragraphs within a longer document. As a result, existing text mining tools-which categorize entire documents by topic or highlight isolated claims-leave an expanding set of important evidence without any systematic method for discovery or organization. This paper presents an open and modular transformer-based framework that detects and structures social tipping point evidence at the passage level. The framework joins five components into a single deployable workflow: a DistilBERT boundary splitter for segmentation, an iteratively augmented RoBERTa classifier for detection, a Mistral 7B model that rewrites each detected passage for clarity, a LLaMA 3.2 3B model that rates the passage against five published social tipping point criteria, and a Milvus vector store for semantic retrieval. The system is wrapped in a Streamlit interface backed by MinIO object storage. Evaluated on a 163-passage benchmark labelled by GPT-4.1 and a 51-passage set reviewed by experts, the splitter surpassed three competing methods on a nine-metric composite score (6.137). The tuned RoBERTa model achieved 71.4 percent accuracy with a Cohen's kappa of 0.337 on the full benchmark, and 87.5 percent accuracy with a kappa of 0.742 on passages with labels, outperforming both a climate-focused model and untuned language models.

Abstract (translated)

URL

https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.12254

PDF

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2609.12254.pdf


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