Abstract
LLM-as-a-Judge pipelines are increasingly used to evaluate AI-generated text, based on the assumption that judgments arise from reasoning over candidate responses with respect to a rubric. We show that this assumption warrants further scrutiny. Classifiers trained only on rubric text, without access to any evaluated response, achieve nontrivial predictive performance on judge outputs. This suggests that rubric formulations encode recoverable evaluative signals, allowing scores to be partially anticipated independently of model outputs. Finally, counterfactual perturbations reveal that judges often fail to reliably update their decisions when either the candidate response or the rubric criterion is reversed. Our findings raise concerns about the reliability of rubric-based LLM evaluation and highlight the need for further methodological study of automated evaluation via LLMs.
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URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.02942
